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Propagandizing Nature
The right wing doesn’t know how to cool it.
The news from the high latitudes continues to be unrelievedly grim. Today, the
Observer (the Sunday edition of the Guardian) reported on a new study which
showed carbon dioxide levels rising at between 2.5 parts per million and 3 parts
per million per year at a station in northern Norway. That is yet another
substantial increase in the rate of increase, and worldwide, levels are at about
380 parts per million. Over the previous 800,000 years, it has never exceeded
280 parts per million.
According to the article, 500 parts per million is considered a (somewhat
arbitrary) “tipping point,” at which time climate change becomes irreversible.
Unfortunately, that doesn’t mean we have 40 years to mull over our options.
The article states, “Scientists and campaigners are desperate for politicians to
reach agreements that will prevent the 500 ppm 'tipping point' being breached in
the next half-century. These new data suggest they may have a far shorter period
of time in which to act.” Unfortunately, we may not even have that slim hope.
French Climatologist Philippe Rekacewicz ran a series of computer projections
based on various scenarios ranging from the Putsch Junta approach (make no
serious effort to control CO2 emissions) to somehow eliminating 90% of them in
the next five years. The former indicated CO2 levels of about 960 ppm by the end
of the century, and the latter showed levels of about 600 ppm. All nine
scenarios showed levels exceeding the magic 500 level at a point somewhere
between 2050 and 2060.
So global climate change is going to happen. In the north, it’s already
happening on a wide scale. The annual period over which the ice cap reaches the
shores of Greenland and Canada has been reduced by three weeks a year since
1970, which cuts into the amount of time both native tribes and polar bears have
in which to secure food for the summer. As a result, the polar bears are slowly
dying off, and the tribes are learning to build boats and fish. (One tribe in
Greenland tried hunting walruses from boats, and lost a number of boats and too
many hunters before determining that a full grown walrus with a harpoon in his
hide had better not be attached to a boat much smaller than a destroyer.)
The Observer article also mentioned that the Greenland ice cap was degrading at
a rate much faster than anyone expected. As is the Antarctic ice sheet, which is
a surprise, because temperatures there remain far below freezing. What I’m
guessing is that the ocean ice shelves surrounding Antarctica have had a damming
effect on the katabatic ice flow, the vast glaciers that sweep down from the ice
cap to the Antarctic coast, and with the amount of sea ice in rapid decline, the
damming effect is lessened, and the ice flow has increased sharply. In the case
of both it and Greenland, there is concern that immense areas of icecap could
suddenly break off and slide into the ocean at once; with the ice shelf gone,
the most immediate effect might be gigantic tsunamis that could dwarf the Boxing
Day tsunami of 2004.
Another cause for concern is that the Gulf Stream has reduced its rate of flow
by 30%. This is caused by cold fresh water pouring off Greenland from glacial
melt, which diverts the normal warm flow out of the southwest Atlantic. It’s
what keeps temperatures in northern Europe above zero in the winter, and without
it, it’s unlikely that the British Isles and the Scandinavian Peninsula will be
able to support the tens of millions living there now.
A La Niña is forming in the Pacific. While this is hardly unusual (they tend to
show up every 7 to 12 years or so, a part of the El Niño/Southern Oscillation
pattern in the Pacific) this one looks like it could persist into the fall. Two
features of this particular pattern for the United States are severe drought in
the Southwest, which is already in severe drought, and increased tropical storm
activity in the Gulf and up the Atlantic seaboard. Ah hem.
Oscillations – not just the one that causes El Niño/La Niña, but nearly all
periodic and/or seasonal variations that are a normal part of climate patterns –
are expected to intensify. Global warming not only means hotter and drier
summers, it means more ferocious winter storms. It can mean dust bowls in the
American south, glaciers in England. The extent of dislocation is far vaster, of
course, and include factors such as how and where diseases spread, along with
blights, and crop-destroying pests and fungi. People like to fixate on the slow
rise of the oceans, but of far more immediate concern is the shifting climate
and the effect it will have on our food supply.
Even as their former allies in the petroleum and automotive industry concede
both the reality of global warming and the role their products have played in
it, the ideological right clings desperately to the fantasy that it’s all just a
liberal plot, and it will go away just as soon as liberals are eliminated.
The far right Australian Broadcasting Company, for example, dismissed the recent
reports of a growing La Niña as “premature,” claim it was “six months out of
phase.” Just what it was six months out of phase with the Murdoch media
conglomerate didn’t make clear, but it would go away.
It -could-, of course. Sometimes these oscillations just peter out. Nobody knows
why. But we aren’t so lucky with global climate change.
Bill Steigerwald, of the Richard Scaife-owned Pittsburgh Tribune-Review, decided
that global warming was all just a liberal plot. As proof of this, he noted that
the Washington Post interviewed “climatologist” George Taylor, and that the
piece noted he wrote articles for the Petroleum industry funded TCSDaily.com
website. Steigerwald huffed, “Funny. No one else in The Post's article who gets
government money had his credibility smeared. Just the guy who wasn't a
global-warming true believer.” Actually, everyone else in the article had
affiliations and related activities mentioned. Only Taylor’s was considered a
“smear.”
Actually, the Post was kind to Taylor, failing to mention that he was Chief
Executive Officer of the George C. Marshall Institute (“Science for Better
Public Policy,” a slogan that right away tells you that this is an outfit that
wants its science to meet its criteria for proper “public policy”), a right-wing
think tank that has spent years trying to debunk global warming.
Only the monied elite, and the right wing crackpots who slave for them, push the
notion there is no global warming, no looming crisis.
It isn’t just disgraceful. It’s bizarre. The very people funding this idiotic
and suicidal mission to propagandize the mounting crisis of global warming away
are the ones who have the most to lose from their actions.
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